Posts Tagged ‘financial’
UAE Financial Trends and Economic Scenario
The economic recovery in the United Arab Emirates is gaining strength, supported by a favorable global environment but subject to increased regional uncertainty.
Growth reflects stronger tourism, logistics, and trade in the emirate of Dubai; and large public investment spending in the emirate of Abu Dhabi, including through Government- Related Entities.
Higher oil prices are also contributing to a marked improvement in the fiscal and external positions of the country. Inflation rate at consumer level is expected to remain moderate at 4.5 percent in the country despite a rise in food prices internationally. Property rents continue to decline. Besides, the UAE’s unemployment rate is at low level of 4.2 percent.
However, it must be noted that risks to the country’s economic recovery remain, including from possible economic spillovers of regional events. In particular, the current re- pricing of geopolitical risk in the region could lead to more challenging market conditions, which may put pressure on the entities that need to roll over external borrowing.
Forecasts indicate the UAE real GDP will grow by five per cent this year and a similar rate in 2012, considering the expected growth of six per cent in emerging economies, this rate of growth in the UAE is good. The UAE and Saudi Arabia will be among the countries leading growth in MENA.
Besides high oil prices, growth in the UAE would be fueled by a surge in the tourism sector, citing a 70-80 per cent jump in hotel occupancy in the first few months of 2011. Trade would be another strong growth sector and the current political unrest in MENA would give a strong push to Dubai as a key commercial centre in the world.
A sharp increase in the UAE’s trade sector this year and next year can be expected and the other sectors that will contribute to growth are telecommunications and transport besides in addition to infrastructure and financial services sectors.
The UAE’s GDP, the second largest in the Arab region after the Saudi economy, expanded by around 3.2 per cent in 2010 after shrinking in 2009. Real GDP recorded one of its highest growth rates of 7.4 per cent in 2008.
Strong oil prices will ally with an upsurge in tourism, trade and communications to lift the UAE’s economy by nearly five per cent in 2011, sharply higher than the growth rate in 2010.GDP growth will remain at a high level in 2012 and the level is considered as one of the best growth rates in the Middle East and North Africa.
Current Financial Turmoil in Global Context
Signs of Recovery
The world is near the bottom of a global recession that is causing widespread business contraction, increases in unemployment, and shrinking government revenues. Although recent data indicate the large industrialized economies may have reached bottom and are beginning to recover, for the most part, unemployment is still rising. Numerous small banks and households still face huge problems in restoring their balance sheets, and unemployment has combined with sub-prime loans to keep home foreclosures at a high rate. Nearly all industrialized countries and many emerging and developing nations have announced economic stimulus and/or financial sector rescue packages. Several countries have resorted to borrowing from the International Monetary Fund as a last resort.
The Weakness of Financial Systems Worldwide
The crisis has exposed fundamental weaknesses in financial systems worldwide, demonstrated how interconnected and interdependent economies are today, and has posed vexing policy dilemmas. The process for coping with the crisis by countries across the globe has been manifest in three basic phases.
The first has been intervention to contain the contagion and restore confidence in the system. This has required extraordinary measures both in scope, cost, and extent o government reach.
The second has been coping with the secondary effects of the crisis, particularly the global recession and flight of capital from countries in emerging markets and elsewhere that have been affected by the crisis.
The third phase of this process is to make changes in the financial system to reduce risk and prevent future crises. In order to give these proposals political backing, world leaders have called for international meetings to address changes in policy, regulations, oversight, and enforcement.
U S Crisis Trickles Down to all Nations
According to the Economist Intelligence Unit, the aggressive measures that governments have taken to counter the financial crisis have not only helped to prevent a more severe downturn but are now setting the stage for a recovery, albeit a weak one. However, the world economy could weaken again once the stimulus wears off, mainly because government debt has increased dramatically in many countries—eliciting rising concerns about the solvency of the state. This has made current levels of stimulus through government spending not quiet sustainable.
The global financial crisis has brought home an important point: the United States is still a major center of the financial world. Regional financial crises (such as the Asian financial crisis, Japan’s banking crisis, or the Latin American debt crisis) can occur without seriously infecting the rest of the global financial system. But when the U.S. financial system stumbles, it may bring major parts of the rest of the world down with it.6 The reason is that the United States is the main guarantor of the international financial system, the provider of dollars widely used as currency reserves and as an international medium of exchange, and a contributor to much of the financial capital that sloshes around the world seeking higher yields. The rest of the world may not appreciate it, but a financial crisis in the United States often takes on a global hue.
Financial System Review
Financial systems are a vital component in the delivery of an organizations programs and services. When managed effectively, financial systems improve service quality, enhance productivity and reduce costs.
A financial system is a system used to exercise financial management, control and accountability of an organizations funds or assets. Included are systems used to record, verify, report, generate and/or execute financial transactions, and those used for the management and control of assets, liabilities and assets.
Systems must be put in place to determine methodology to be used in the development of financial systems. The methodology used must be consistent with the company’s information technology.
Organizations must ensure that financial systems have comprehensive controls to prevent and reduce the risk of loss, error, misuse or fraud to an acceptable level. A risk and controls review must be performed and documented for a new financial system, and whenever there are significant modifications to an existing financial system. Qualified, independent and objective parties must carry out the review.
The scope of a risk and controls review depends on the nature and complexity of the financial system. A comprehensive review includes project management, systems development, general controls and application-based controls. Companies that require a financial system to interface with other systems must establish proper and integrated processes to secure financial information.
Financial systems in the corporate world represent the business study department of a company. Large organizations use financial systems to review financial performance. Sometimes, corporate financial system is a conduit to accounting and management. Financial systems goes a step beyond preparing financial information it measures performance and projects forecasts. Various financial activities come under the corporate financial system. Capital structure, profitability measurements, budgets, sales forecasts, cash flow management and financing decisions are just some of them.
The essential purpose of financial systems is to measure the profit generating capability of the company and recommend best finance options for further growth and profitability.
Corporate Financial Planning
Planning corporate finance is vital for the health of every organization. Targeted goals, timelines and ways to achieve those goals and importantly, budgeting for the program with the help of all the data in hand is corporate financial planning.
Financial Planning is a complex. The financial services industry has numerous products and solutions for every need. The key is getting the right solution.
The economic climate constantly change, whether it is the economy of the business itself, the economy of the local community, city, state, or nation. Each progressive level sends down ripple effects to all of the others, so it is crucial for the business leaders who are involved in corporate financial planning to determine exactly what the economic status of each level is and how each will specifically affect business. Once all of this is determined only then a final plan for investments and actions put in place in the best interest of the business and ways to meet predetermined goals.
Business leaders responsible for corporate financial planning must set long term goals. Long term goals look forward into the far future, seeking to establish guidelines that will direct the business over many years. A small business may have a long term goal of becoming a franchise. A larger business may have a long term goal of going international and planting new business centers in other countries. These long term goals can be harder to stick to as the economic statuses at each level gradually shift and flow in response to events, whether local or global.
As such, it is easier and more productive in corporate financial planning to focus on short term goals. These are easier to meet because it is easier to predict how the economic situations will play out over the short term. It is also easier to make adjustments to short term goals in order to keep them viable and useful. People can adjust these goals as needed to follow market trends or compensate for unexpected losses.
Just as individuals need a solid idea of their finances and goals for their financial futures, businesses must keep track of their money flow and have a plan ahead of time of what they want to see in their financial futures. So it is important for businesses, regardless of their size, to engage in corporate financial planning.
